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Abstract: The age of seawater refers to the amount of time that has elapsed since that water encountered the surface. This age measures the ventilation rate of the ocean, and the spatial distribution of age can be influenced by multiple processes, such as overturning circulation, ocean mixing, and air–sea exchange. In this work, we aim to gain new quantitative insights about how the ocean’s age tracer distribution reflects the strength of the meridional overturning circulation and diapycnal diffusivity. We propose an integral constraint that relates the age tracer flow across an isopycnal surface to the geometry of the surface. With the integral constraint, a relationship between the globally averaged effective diapycnal diffusivity and the meridional overturning strength at an arbitrary density level can be inferred from the age tracer concentration near that level. The theory is tested in a set of idealized single-basin simulations. A key insight from this study is that the age difference between regions of upwelling and downwelling, rather than any single absolute age value, is the best indicator of overturning strength. The framework has also been adapted to estimate the strength of abyssal overturning circulation in the modern North Pacific, and we demonstrate that the age field provides an estimate of the circulation strength consistent with previous studies. This framework could potentially constrain ocean circulation and mixing rates from age-like realistic tracers (e.g., radiocarbon) in both past and present climates. Significance Statement: The age of seawater—the local mean time since local water from different pathways was last at the surface—is a valuable indicator of ocean circulation and the transport time scale of heat and carbon. We introduce a novel constraint that relates total age flow across a density surface to its geometry, which provides new insights into constraining ocean circulation and mixing rates from age-like realistic tracers (e.g., radiocarbon). 

Abstract West Antarctic Ice Sheet mass loss is a major source of uncertainty in sea level projections. The primary driver of this melting is oceanic heat from Circumpolar Deep Water originating offshore in the Antarctic Circumpolar Current. Yet, in assessing melt variability, open ocean processes have received considerably less attention than those governing cross-shelf exchange. Here, we use Lagrangian particle release experiments in an ocean model to investigate the pathways by which Circumpolar Deep Water moves toward the continental shelf across the Pacific sector of the Southern Ocean. We show that Ross Gyre expansion, linked to wind and sea ice variability, increases poleward heat transport along the gyre’s eastern limb and the relative fraction of transport toward the Amundsen Sea. Ross Gyre variability, therefore, influences oceanic heat supply toward the West Antarctic continental slope. Understanding remote controls on basal melt is necessary to predict the ice sheet response to anthropogenic forcing. 

Abstract The West Antarctic Ice Sheet is experiencing rapid thinning of its floating ice shelves, largely attributed to oceanic basal melt. Numerical models suggest that the Bellingshausen Sea has a key role in setting water properties in the Amundsen Sea and further downstream. Yet, observations confirming these pathways of volume and tracer exchange between coast and shelf break and their impact on inter‐sea exchange remain sparse. Here we analyze the circulation and distribution of glacial meltwater at the boundary between the Bellingshausen Sea and the Amundsen Sea using a combination of glider observations from January 2020 and hydrographic data from instrumented seals. Meltwater distributions over previously unmapped western regions of the continental shelf and slope reveal two distinct meltwater cores with different optical backscatter properties. At Belgica Trough, a subsurface meltwater peak is linked with hydrographic properties from Venable Ice Shelf. West of Belgica Trough, the vertical structure of meltwater concentration changes, with peak values occurring at greater depths and denser isopycnals. Hydrographic analysis suggests that the western (deep) meltwater core is supplied from the eastern part of Abbot Ice Shelf, and is exported to the shelf break via a previously‐overlooked bathymetric trough (here named Seal Trough). Hydrographic sections constructed from seal data reveal that the Antarctic Coastal Current extends west past Belgica Trough, delivering meltwater to the Amundsen Sea. Each of these circulation elements has distinct dynamical implications for the evolution of ice shelves and water masses both locally and downstream, in the Amundsen Sea and beyond. 

Abstract Oceanic macroturbulence is efficient at stirring and transporting tracers. The dynamical properties of this stirring can be characterized by statistically quantifying tracer structures. Here, we characterize the macroscale (1–100 km) tracer structures observed by two Seagliders downstream of the Southwest Indian Ridge in the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC). These are some of the first glider observations in an energetic standing meander of the ACC, a region associated with enhanced ventilation. The small‐scale density variance in the mixed layer (ML) was relatively enhanced near the surface and base of the ML, while being muted at mid‐depth in the ML, suggesting the formation mechanism to be associated with ML instabilities and eddies. In addition, ML density fronts were formed by comparable contributions from temperature and salinity gradients. In the interior, along‐isopycnal spectra and structure functions of spice indicated that there is relatively lower variance at smaller scales than would be expected based on non‐local stirring, suggesting that flows smaller than the deformation radius play a role in the cascade of tracers to small scales. These interior spice anomalies spanned across isopycnals, and were found to be about 3–5 times flatter than the aspect ratio that would be expected for O(1) Burger number flows like interior QG dynamics, suggesting the ratio of vertical shear to horizontal strain is greater thanN/f. This further supports that small‐scale flows, with high‐mode vertical structures, impact tracer distributions. 

Key Points Rates of ocean‐driven Amundsen Sea ice shelf melt respond to variations in warm water transport to the coast and modification at the coast A simple Amundsen Sea continental shelf overturning model, based on water mass transformation, reveals bistable high and low melt regimes Feedbacks between glacial melt and polynya convection are central to the bistability and produce variability consistent with observations 

Abstract. Antarctic sea ice has exhibited significant variability over the satellite record, including a period of prolonged and gradual expansion, as well as a period of sudden decline. A number of mechanisms have been proposed to explain this variability, but how each mechanism manifests spatially and temporally remains poorly understood. Here, we use a statistical method called low-frequency component analysis to analyze the spatiotemporal structure of observed Antarctic sea ice concentration variability. The identified patterns reveal distinct modes of low-frequency sea ice variability. The leading mode, which accounts for the large-scale, gradual expansion of sea ice, is associated with the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation and resembles the observed sea surface temperature trend pattern that climate models have trouble reproducing. The second mode is associated with the central Pacific El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Southern Annular Mode and accounts for most of the sea ice variability in the Ross Sea. The third mode is associated with the eastern Pacific ENSO and Amundsen Sea Low and accounts for most of the pan-Antarctic sea ice variability and almost all of the sea ice variability in the Weddell Sea. The third mode is also related to periods of abrupt Antarctic sea ice decline that are associated with a weakening of the circumpolar westerlies, which favors surface warming through a shoaling of the ocean mixed layer and decreased northward Ekman heat transport. Broadly, these results suggest that climate model biases in long-term Antarctic sea ice and large-scale sea surface temperature trends are related to each other and that eastern Pacific ENSO variability is a key ingredient for abrupt Antarctic sea ice changes. 

Abstract Surface ocean temperature and velocity anomalies at meso‐ and sub‐meso‐scales induce wind stress anomalies. These wind‐front interactions, referred to as thermal (TFB) and current (CFB) feedbacks, respectively, have been studied in isolation at mesoscale, yet they have rarely been considered in tandem. Here, we assess the combined influence of TFB and CFB and their relative impact on surface wind stress derivatives. Analyses are based on output from two regions of the Southern Ocean in a coupled simulation with local ocean resolution of 2 km. Considering both TFB and CFB shows regimes of interference, which remain mostly linear down to the simulation resolution. The jointly‐generated wind stress curl anomalies approach 10⁻⁵ N m⁻³, ∼20 times stronger than at mesoscale. The synergy of both feedbacks improves the ability to reconstruct wind stress curl magnitude and structure from both surface vorticity and SST gradients by 12%–37% on average, compared with using either feedback alone.